Calculations: Only 3% population Employable by University System

In Any country let suppose literacy rate is 80% among adults population.
Out of 80% population how many did pass 10 th class Exam.
Some may have dropped to due poverty or just because not able to clear.
Look at realistic percentage:
 1. Let say 70% of them managed to clear 10th Exam: 80-(80*.3)=56
As average state board results are in 70% range.
 2. Then Those who go for 12th : result say 90%. and 10 % dropout.
 56-(56 * 0.2) = 45 %. 12 th pass.
3. How many graduate pass ultimately?
Take case of india out of 225 university and 50 IIT or 20 IIM. only top 25% university are good enough for employability. Let suppose only top 25 % student from every indian university get into real employment.
out of 45%= 45 – (3/4 * 45) = 12 % around. This is supposing all university are Equal and pitching all of its students, all courses stream, Arts , sociology, history, Engineering and management gets into Employment.
Which is not a case in any Economy since Every economy has its key sectors depending on resource availability of country, then geo-physical factors, other environmental factors.
Like China is base to manufacturing because of low labour rate.
India did well in BPO because of english skills.
Ireland has huge potential for data centres between Europe and USA so also has for milk exports.
So there are 200 skills but 100 are more important for employment. I am taking a very large figure though actual will be small. Let say 1/2 chances.
So there is  1/2* 12= 6% of all adult population.

Now % of Adult employable population not retired. Let say 50%.
So Actual is 6% * 1/2 = 3% Employable population by University System.
Note: There may be difference in probability I have assumed from country to country
So real percentage my be 3% or 6% but it would be nearby % only.
In  DEVELOPED world Calculations are little Different SO FIGURE WOULD DIFFERENT

Fastest travel Train from Europe Across Asia: World Integration More Jobs trade Recession proof

Europe is already connected by train routes. Why not under multi-cultural world Extend the routes to Asia middleeast-india-china-mynamar-singapore.
EuropeToSingaporeMore Tourist in Both sides, more jobs to cover recession from project, more growth in trade and commerce.
of 14,000 kms @600kms per hour in 20 hours……. London to Singapore.
Travel from Paris or London to Singapore on fast track train. Will not only save lot of fuel will also make travel safe and less costly.
This will also enable old aged people to travel safe on long distance.
Also High Speed train 550+ kph will attraction for lot of people to attract and go for long distance travel.
Train Across Asia people can travel to china and india by train. Just like US and Canada live peacefully. India can also allow transit for Chinese oil and goods requirements from middleeast from coast of India to china.Then China need not depend on others routes to achieve. Also gives them cost effective option. Even Fast train routes to Myanmar , to Thailand and to Singapore, to Cambodia , to shanghai from china or India.

India: 4th Largest coast-line Can become World leader in Ship building and maritime industry

India has 4rth largest coast line in Asia just behind Indonesia, japan, china. Has not been used effectively for Economic good.
Simple statistics : Maritime Economic Index MEI , india ranks much higher than its present utilisation. MEI is designated to considered equivalent to HDI due its influences on many parameters especially monetary once. Although Human development Index takes education, health, maternity rate, maternity death etc into account so its different from MEI. But potential of MEI is very huge for coastal states like in India
Each state can do its bit. India imports 240 billion dollar of goods and Export around 170 billion dollars. Total trade in around 1/2 trillion dollars every year.
30,00,000 crore rupees of trade every year. Not only that it sits on important sea highway from middle east towards pacific.
So There can be many Sea faring companies which can take goods from any part of world and transport to any part of the world. So if we take this into account total value is much large. Even States UP, Bihar if they can make vessel run on ganga possible it will not only keep ganga clean also it will increase tourism to very large Extent.
There are no cruise Ship tourism currently in India although oppurtunity is very large for running ship from
Cruise ship west coast: west coast towards lakshdeep, maldives and back to goa, Gujarat, maharashtra, Karnataka,
Cruise East :Even on east cost on tamil nadu, AP orissa, West bengal towards lakshdeep and back. you get so many coral island in between. Blue beaches and white sand.
Economic opportunity in this Can only be developed if there is competing ship building companies in India in every state should compete with other space exist for all.
Calcualtion total Trade value:
1. Import+ Export: 30,00,000 crore.
2. International trade: 30,00,000 crore + it will more only but detailed below.
3. Tourism: 10% of 40 billion= 4 billion (lower side only)
As its a new area came up in chart it can take up a lot more than 10%. Also there are other related tourism out of total 100 billion tourism which india can attract let say 20% can be attracted here.
https://sandyclassic.wordpress.com/2013/12/30/tourism-sector-india-100-billion-dollar-opportunity-untapped-calculation/
So it adds upto 20+4+ 20 Ship building due to cheap manpower (
http://swaminomics.org/ship-building-indias-next-star-industry/ 
Even Right now countries where labour rates are 5 times india like china have 12 billion Export in ship building. There is enough space for both china and India.
China can take itself from 12 to 50 billion dollar.
While india from present 2 can take to 20 billion in next 3 yrs.
So total min = 44 billion dollar Forex Earning per year.
Now distribute this wealth to 9 sea states in india.
Average around 5 billion dollar for each state. and not divide by population in these states of around 35 crore or .35 billion population per capita it come to
44/0.35= 125 dollar per year.
And effect of this on other tertiary sectors of around 125 dollar per person by way of secondary manpower. considering 1:1 ratio ( actually it would be 1:3 or 1:5).
So total conservative Estimate per capita increase by 250 dollar in next 3 yrs itself.
from present average 1500 dollar to inflation adjusted 1750 dollar or increase of 16% with that put inflation and other factor. if 7% inflation taken into factor.
it may affect 300 dollar per year or 18,000 rupees income to every person in these state due to Ship industry.
Addition to this is attaching another analysis. India is famously position for steel building having large iron and coal ores. India is lowest cost steel producer in world.

Manpower cost in India in 1/5 th of china.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_minimum_wages_by_country
Not only it can supplement into huge trade imbalance or trade deficit of around 100-200 billion dollar Every year. Thus giving Government quick arsenal to reduce every current account and trade deficit.
These are Easily achievable targets in next 3 yrs. 44 billion dollar per year reduction in 150 billion dollar trade deficit india is having.It would be very much needed As there is always fluctuation in IT sector going forward. The rates of Oil is also fluctuating So india would in difficult position if this is not done.
Note: There is no Meritime/Ship buidling University in India
India require increase in manpower of about 20% Every Year.
Why Goverment not focusing quickly in these sector?
– if it ends Unemployment in india engineering youth and bring forex in large to help stabilize rupee and bring forex trade deficit down from varying avg 130 billion to about 90 billion
Especially when India is going to election and most south,west , east sea faring states are very crucial Even opposition is targeting them along with ruling party. Giving them this vision for industry and sea linked to them. Sea gives all people there emotional bond with is not comparable with any other thought.

Common Wealth Vs Un-common Wealth for Common Man

Countries Like UK, ireland, cannda, Australia they come under common wealth countries.
Traditionally they were ruled by common denominator the Numerator kept fluctuating though over period of time. What is good for one country may not be good of other everyone has its choices, everyone tries to optimize opportunities available to trade.
( This Article is written in general sense not to hurt any sentiment if any)
What are then can be categorized Un-Common wealth countries? Those countries which never had this common wealth but generated wealth on there own over period of time.
There are are basically two category of English speaking countries for Common Man to migrate One is CommonWealth other is Un-commonwealth countries.
The Un-common wealth countries have greater focus on enterprise to create wealth over period of time. Having said that Even Common-Wealth has on later half of century focus on Enterprise. So the culture of Enterprise is building up in Common wealth. Whereas Uncommon Wealth countries did start and rose from scratch due to enterprise power.
Still you can see though the traces of Common Wealth in countries and which will ever remain. It is just how things came up in history in particular area.
Where are those traces exist? Actually you can Easily See it I do not want to focus on that right now.
Un-Common wealth: Which was not Actually common than common wealth did come up over period of time with trial-error of enterprise and economic policies. Why I say trial and error because in between there were periods of learning from great depression those were period of error which gave new rooms for innovation, careful calibration, refinement in economic policies from where new models of Keynesian economics were implemented.
We know GDP growth Rate = C+G + I + E -X
G Government Expenditure, I Investment, E Export, X import, C private consumption.
Reduction is interest rate upped The C and I while government increased its G which lead to revival and growth but before this lets Say say’s law was in use. But I am not Economist to get into details point I am making is “Every Chaos bring Innovation”.
Un-Common wealth Countries had to go through lot of Chaos which brought these economic, technological , social innovations which brougth lot of Common Wealth to Un-common wealth countries hence increasing the employment and growth Chances.

Even today many countries have to keep date with past and traditions restricting the scope of innovations and enterprise and hence in a way reducing there chances to create employment and growth which comes with enterprise.
So For Common Man it would be nice to migrate to Common Wealth or To Un-common Wealth countries. Its tricky question
But Un-Common is actually Common and Common is actually un-common.
Are you getting what I mean here?
There is saying in Hindi which goes like this ” The person Who say he prays to God a lot or too much religious actually when you go deep he/she actually not religious enough his thought pattern is like that.”
That is same concept which is going here:
Every Common Wealth is actually Un-common While Actually Un-common wealth is actually Common wealth.

Cyber Coolie of Modern World: Software Economics

Outsourcing :
Makes Companies 7 times more profitable and creates 3.5 times more local jobs
Most People Indian/Chinese/ IT companies work at 1/10 cost and Make products of Developed world competitive in International Market. Let us see how?
Suppose a product Cost 100 dollar/Euro.
If any modification on Software worked in Euro-zone or US
then it cost suppose 30 Euro/dollar.
Total Cost becomes : 130 Euro /dollar
But if done in third world it cost just: 5 Euro. Then Cost is 105 Euro.
suppose its sold at 140 Euro. Selling Price
Now By outsourcing company profit is 35 Euro/dollar
while Not outsourced profit: 10 Euro.
Ratio of Profit Outsourced:Not Outsourced 1:3.5  or 2:7..
Now Money saved can be used creates more employment in Developed world.
For Each job outsourced it can create 3.5 times more job in local market. As you can see job Euro job cost 10 while saving in outsourcing was 35. for 35/10 number of jobs created locally.
This is More related to software. But look at some more details Even developing countries also buys those product since the product become affordable to them. Thus increasing sales many fold. So actual Effect many be 6 to 7 times more local jobs.
What developed world needs to move more on top of it to Earn more revenue.
See here developed world Earned 35 Euro but developing world 5 Euro.
So For Each Unit sold developed world Earn 7 times more money then the country where it is outsourced.
Why I say Cyber Coolie?
1. Developing
 world not only earn 1/7 revenue But Also looses it grip on Local Product market. As those product take market. So Developed world has 7 times more Revenue
2. Product development capability of local market is permanently Killed. Since most workforce gets diverted to either Outsourcing provider or Captive Centre due to Dollar or Euro Vs rupee/yuan Cost arbitrage. As Starting Salary in these jobs due to arbitrage looks very high compared with startup which initially start selling in local market.
3. Third Most important These Jobs are Just Contract dependent. As Parent company takes can shift these jobs to any other country any time. Let suppose 20% contract given to some other country means 20% jobs gone at once.As these are contract based Jobs.
So To whose benefit the Job serve.(Developed World)
Think A software Company wins a Contract. Of course with Every contract the learnings company keep moving up the value chain. But more up the value chain it moves more benefits to developed world by same calculation given above. As profit difference in higher value chain products would be large. So More Outsourcing Higher value chain mean more Revenue for MNC and more Jobs for local Market.
Calculation:
suppose High value chain Commands 50% more premium. Then Every Ration will increase by 50%. So 3.5 times more revenue becomes. 3.5+1.75=5.25 times more revenue
and 7+3.5= 10.5 times more local jobs for high value jobs.

– From the Pen of Cyber Coolie

e-WiLL needed but no evil needed …

You see Everything is moving to (e)  Just like mail to e-mail, governance to e-governance.
The IT is affecting Everything traditional industry to taken over by internet driven industry.
So its willingness of Government to take risk and make e-systems available to general public. Use of internet has if used effectively as medium increases the GDP by 0.5 percentage point.
1. Physical Book store taken over by Amazon online system.
Read: Case discussion https://sandyclassic.wordpress.com/2011/10/30/groupon-on-top-5-along-with-facebooklinkedin-can-rediff-deals-do-the-same-in-india/
2. Trading floor have to give there high frequency trading to Algorithmic trading platforms.
3. Customer facing system are Aided by CRM, and IVR integrated voice response.
Physical Phone are taken over by Soft Phones. Why SIP is HOT? precisely same reason of integrating old Phone with soft phone.
READ: https://sandyclassic.wordpress.com/2011/10/10/why-sip-is-most-hot-technology-in-telecom/
Universities Course would soon Move to towards On-line University.
4. Similar to Book store, Retail Store are moving towards online Stores like
READ: https://sandyclassic.wordpress.com/2013/10/26/retail-sector-innovations/
What I mean By E-WiLL?
Like e-Governance It is the faith on systems and proper utilisation of them also as filtering medium to get to root cause. The New Career emerging in data Science in form of Data Scientist reflect this WiLL and faith of IT powerhouse to wade to haze of data to carve out trends from it. The Mathematical Models which we build depends on the fundamental bias with which Model was created. There is always possibility to create Model the way we want but It should reflect to practical test of system.
For Example 2% population coming to meet CM of some state with 200 million population like indian state of UP would take 175 yrs 20 hrs a day of work.
Read:
https://sandyclassic.wordpress.com/2014/01/11/shameful-nude-display-of-power-in-21st-century/
But if you have faith on system e-WiLL then you can always install and build system CRM with open source systems for people to send there problems on line to system which can then filter to the respective department without spending thousand rupees to to capital and wait for meeting Chief minister elected representative (submitting them your problem Manually).
Workflow: Go Online-> select the category Like water problem, tax, house , sanitation etc and submit application to CM. The workflow automatically redirects it to relevant officers without people need to travel those distance and wasting there time on meeting grounds rather just point click submit. So e-WiLL is important.
The Fish called corruption also tamed in nets of e-Will thus taming Evil. We have seen in history that Even in Mythological Stories Like there was a Evil who had some power which was gifted to him or her. There also it was very difficult to comprehend Those powers.
Like Ravan Son Megnath coud fight invisibly by creating mirage of images thus to confuse which is real image.
Now to Comprehend where the problem Exists it root cause of Corruption which gives it breeding ground. I can give here many Examples like Euro crisis or Coal Allocation. The Comprehension did not existed when those systems were signed about possible problem which led to people taking advantage of it.
So To Comprehend we need to analyse data but if there no e-Will there is no e-Data. This data is very important to begin Analysis of data using system like Bigdata to get understanding of where problem Exist. Its like continuous Audit rather than yearly Audit.
You can check your self rather than dependent on third party. Can do Exception Reporting.
Make data and Analysis publically available to make people realize that Government is doing the work of common Man.
Data Can be Gathered for governance
Data as in reports in graph and geographic reporting. Almost every 1 meter of Earth data is already present in GIS system. That’s arelay used to create models for things like pipeline. If suppose no drawing Exist then the Organisation which did work on the project would surely have GIS model of area. Those organisation can supply the drawing in no time.
For vigilance or checking Exception nothing i better than computerised system rather than trusting dishonest officer. So Evil can be tame by e-WiLL.
Technology I call it Takna-O-Logy. Takna in Punjabi means Knee. There is saying in Hindi when somebody commits a mistake that people say
“Dimag Ghutne mein hai kya?” mean Is your Mind in Knee instead being in Head.
That means Mind has gone to such lower level that its in Knee(Techna in Punjabi).
So I say Technology is Takna-o-logy Untill its super-seeded by another plane above the technology plan by human plane.(Human who take informed decision based on Technology otherwise its Tackna-o-logy (Tacknology).Mind Should control and create another level of informed decision making over whatever is presented by software.
Make a small Software Corporation Make E-governance Software will make work easy and well can be fuel by exchange can be used to export Governance Software and hence keep cost down and provide employment to people.

What Can Rajasthan Do for development?

Rajasthan has unique distinction in India which it can leverage to maximum Extent (its only desert Area in country) By this It could attract huge tourist from domestic and international
1. Tourism
– Adventure tourism: Desert Racing sports.
-High quality horse racing. camel racing.
-Village tourism (people trained for this in university can give tourist feel of life in villages)
Houses can be marked with basic amenity for tourist withot disturbing village life..Like stay in hut One day Experience with and indian food, camel milk etc…Lot of experiences can be developed.
– Fort Tourism: Some institution must be set up to research on these forts built with knowledge of trail and Error over a period of time. May Fort Research University.
Why I am saying this?
– Better method of Fort tourism and preservations.
– Some forts have facility like building architecture to keep inside cool Water conservation methods ..This is what we know but there are any Unknown which can be found.
2. Desert Technology Research Centre/University : Needs to Set up a specialized University related to Desert Related Problems of Throughout the World and their Technological Solutions. Cutting across Sciences, mathematics, economics, health etc…
Can Supply These technologies to Rest of Desert Areas of the world and make their life easy with huge manpower it has. It can supply these technologies to middle East, North Africa, May be Australia where ever desert Exist in world.(covering every aspect from technology , sociology, economics.)
Example: Desert Transport: It still unsolved problem.
Roads get filled with sand storms So new kind of low cost auto mobiles, Rail track Etc after research can be developed.
3. Solar Energy: Every Town and Village of state should be made self sufficient in Solar Energy , wind Energy. Solar parks using Even Concentration technologies if creates properly around state then it can supply Energy to Whole of India.
4. With Easy Availability of land in State should set up at least 2-3 private medial colleges in every district and Attract foreign Students. Low cost Medical/Engineering Education destination for rest of world. With Medical Education scarcity in India where Capitation fees to tune of  1 crore rupees or .2 million dollars are charged from student. With huge land availability in state it can really supply manpower to rest of india and world.
5. High value Cash crop:
In Mexico people make sweets from cactus. There are many variety of crop which are not grown In india still can be of high value can be identified and shown in state.
6. Animal Husbandry Research University: Research university should focus on High yielding speed horses for racing, racing camels, camel milk, desert goats and sheep etc..
If it start supplying horses to Every race course of the world. Camel for desert racing.
Huge potential for Goat milk Exports, Wool Exports, high quality Horses and Camel Export.
7. Traditional Folk Music: A University For Traditional Folk music. There are any types of instruments in state which are unique.Musicians End up learning and teaching music without a degree. A formal method setup By Music university to Give them degree in there area with Flexibility (mean they need to present in University as most of these are travelling and learning music with there parents of relative) Then This Music University can touch many frontiers on Music and Dance. University should have branches in many district (Where stage shows (on ticket basis) conducted daily can attract huge tourist in Each of these districts).
8.With Large Medical University in Every part of state, health parameters of Human development Index Automatically improve. Traditional medicine university complements are it can provide herbal medicine using household item cheaply to village population.
Desert herbs medicine research Export.
9. Sports: State Should focus energy on sports other than cricket which are not present in India like baseball, Athletics, basketball. With traditions of Rajasthan it can attract lot of funding from organisations willing to develop there sports in World largest democracy and one of top 5 Economies of world. Thus a win-win deal for those organisers.
setting up stadiums and facility for these anywhere in state would not be problem.

Tourism Sector India : 100 billion dollar opportunity untapped (calculation)

Fallacy of foreign tourist travelling to India:
Calculation: Let say there are 1000 people in country.
Emigrated portion of population outside is 10% = 100 people
out of those Only 10% travel back home to see other family: = 10% of 100 = 10 people.

10 is 1% of 1000. So Emigrated population travel back home with family and friends = 1%.
(Let suppose).
Population In India: 1200 million: so 1% of this 12 million.
But what is actual numbers of people travelling to India. = 6.6 million
So We can say actually there are no tourist coming to India it is only Emigrated people travelling back that also by well short of 12 million with just 6.6 million people coming to India.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Tourism_rankings

Compare India with rest of Asia is really pathetic tourism figures
See India is rank in Asia India is ranked below Even Cambodia Which upto 1980’s was under war Environment. Hard-working people of Cambodia and its govt has done really well in short time.
India was never under any such scale of war where whole areas were destroyed still India could get only 6.6 million tourist. (which is infact Indian travelling back). as we seen in calculation.

The Natural Tourist places Advantage India:
– India has one of top three highest mountain On India nepal border Kanchanjanga.
– One of the largest cost line in world with different variety of beaches.
– 1200 types of cultural diversity region (calculation below)
– big desert in rajasthan to highest ran fed region in cherapunji, tea to coffee gardens.
– Historical buildings: like Taj Mahal, 1000 forts, Ancient Architectural marvel in temples and other places.
– Food (1200 variety of foods )
– more that 12 variety of classical dances, music.
– 4 different Kinds of martial Arts in Kerala, pun jab, Manipur.
Problem is these facility are not provided in proper manner Each of these attract tourist.
Solution:
Today many people travel just to learn martial art and music so they can teach back in there country. There should be facility for all of these in all states in India.
Calculation for arriving 1200 types of culture India:
Distance: north to south: 4000 kms X 3400 kms (west to East).
Every 100 kms X 100 kms piece in India Food and culture changes. if we apply this
we get 40 X 34 =1200 approx types of totally different food and culture and historical places… Non of these Exist Anywhere in Asia BUT STILL INDIA IS 9th in Asia.

Tourism Is actually we can say Government saver. Ultimately its highest employment generate.
And it brings Forex in Kitty as well. Its flow helps to develops infrastructure.
Any state which does well in tourism naturally does well in infrastructure,education with exposure of people, employment etc…

Size of Opportunity when we look at India:
– as per calculation above 12 million India emigrants.
PLUS
– International tourist arrival: 50 million approx.(considering these facilities discussed above are not available any where in Asia. highest arrival in Asian country 50 million).
Total: 66+ million tourist from present 6.6 million tourist. Which is ten times the present arrival.
In money Terms:
Travel within India + hotel+ food in India for Each tourist = 1000 dollar.
This means its size can be 66 million X 1000 = 66 billion dollars (suppose approx) earning in Forex by conservative estimates.

Fastest Train:Bombay to Delhi in 5 hrs High Speed Train AND save (140 billion dollar)

Bombay – Delhi in 5 hours high speed train? Train Is most Important medium of national Integration. Tomorrow people can work in Any Indian city yet travel back to home on week end to extreme corners on India in 6 hours max. All captials should be joined with delhi and with metros like quadrilateral using high speed train.
It’s Wonderful to see china is running 27 high speed train (300 kms per hour) since 2010.
http://wikitravel.org/en/High-speed_rail_in_China

While In India Avg speed of high speed long distance train Like AP Express divide distance/hours it takes comes around avg speed 55 kms per hour. it takes approximately 29 hours from Delhi to Hyderabad. While if similar long distance train in china takes about 5.5 hours.

Affordability:
Can you Imagine our train take almost 2 days for which international standard is just one evening 5 hours.? How much backward we are now in basic necessities. In China most people who travel in these train are worker because they want to save time to work more.. So this argument in India its not what common man wants is self defeating.

Why I quote china? because india and china are similar country with similar population and similar problem and also in exist is same part of world. India should learn from china.
Its huge saving to nation:
25 million passengers travel In India:
avg Indian train speed: 55 Kms per hour Which is almost same as was after Independence. So nothing has Improved in terms of speed. Railway shows data of shatabdi express running 130kms per hrs for just 5% of its journey between two railway station but when we take total distance between start of journey and Ending station divide by time it  takes.
Average is still 55 kms per hour.
Dilemma of Indian Train System:
In this age people are talking about 600 kms per hour and India is still at 55 kms per hours.
Moreover its still plagued by huge corruption. Even after paying full money sometime people cannot sit in there seats.
Calculation Showing savings to Indian Economy and Common Man
We take long distance travel of 500kms +
Standard Avg spped long distance travel: 300 kms per hour.
Indian train Speed :
55 kms per hour.(we take it as 50 for easy calculation)
300: 50 ==> 6:1
going with ration For each hour of travel using present system we replace with modern system we save 6 hours time. saving is 6-1 = 5 hrs for Each hour of travel
a. Total travellers on Indian rail: 25 million daily. ………………………..(A)
b. We take avg hour people take to travel: 12 hours. ……………………(B)
c. per day work hours: 8 hours …………………………………………………….(C)
d.present saving per hour: 1 hour of travel 5 (6-1) hrs saving. ………………(D)
per day saving in hours :  a X b X d =25 million X 12 X 5
= 1500 million hours per day.
for a year this figure will be multiplied by 365
= 365 X 1500 million hours.
= 347500 million hours  ………. for whole year (E)
In terms of rupees per hour wage rate : per capita income per day 0.40 dollar per day
(1249 / (365*8) )= 0.40 dollar per day………….(F)
Multiply E and F= Total dollar saved per year:
= 347500 million X o.4
= 347.5 billion X 0.4
= 139 billion dollars…………………………….(G)
Total saving per year to economy and common man = 140 billion dollar

So total saving per year is approximately 139 billion  dollar per year by switching to high speed train. And it directly translate to higher income to common man.

Attracting investment in Hotel Industry can bring most jobs in Ireland.-picture proof

2013-12-06 08.08.18

Tourism is world biggest employer. And Hotels are prime requirement. By attracting investment in Hotel government burden of developing section of land is also reduced as well the beautification creates job and brings more tourist. IDA here must be doing that but There are many good scenic locations where no Hotel Exist all around country at least some places which i see online and offline.

2013-12-06 07.11.17

Have a look at this pictures Camera was not good otherwise may have been much better as visual proof that this location does attract tourist. (these are less there can be many locations u can see look of city improve with Hotels) But I was really amazed that this is not priority here right now at least when i saw one speech last night.

2013-12-06 08.09.04
Most underutilized sector in Ireland remains Farming (milk/meat production) 2nd Tourism and hotel industry (which exist but can expand further).
I went around Limerick city to see best looking places which every tourist will look at.

Most places I found were around the Hotels due to decorations by hotels…

.Attracting investment in Hotel industry in all location city or top of hill in village can bring jobs and lots investment in Ireland.

Limerick city pic around biggest hotel in city... Hotels at right location is what attract tourist..

Limerick city pic around biggest hotel in city…
Hotels at right location is what attract tourist..

Hotel clarion and Hotel its impression on largest river shanon in country 2013-12-06 07.23.02

after look at these pictures read best sector to invest in ireland
https://sandyclassic.wordpress.com/2013/09/05/best-sector-to-invest-in-ireland/
2013-12-06 07.24.56

Ireland attracted 8 million overseas tourist..which is really good figure..
if two things are done it can attract more….
City area are beautified by presence of Hotels.if rules are relaxed in hotel investment
and spots picked up by tourism ireland can suggest them to construct even out of city…
1. 2 session Intake in University and colleges… also its good for local business.
2. trade concession to Hotel industry to attract investment…
3. More cycling routes towards mountain and around river in cities
cycling can attract lot of tourist should be advertised in ..Night cycling…
Attract Investment in Adventure sports.. like paragliding down hill in Limerick hill nearby..
– River experience to visitors using private operator rowing… Here I could not see this in limerick city hence i thought of writing to you.

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2013-12-06 08.11.34

Pathetic State of Economic project Execution- ways to take forward

suppose if there is problem in while signing due to recent scam: Easist solution create a regulator of sector which expert mandate to expedite exeution and Ease of rules…

Pathetic state of execution of projects in country
Solar Energy India produces 1800 MW only while as only 1 state is focussing there While country which have 1/10 population like pakistan target similar production..
while similar population size china installed 8,000 MW.
there is not even single concentrated solar power centre in India.

Not Even single University in top 700 list of institution only 5 institute have entry which teach only engineering Would India not need economist, historian, sociologist etc…
— Medical college charge 1 million bribe for admission..due to shortage of medical colleges in country..
— Not even 1% of foreign education seeking student come to india for education.

Avg speed of train travel in india is 55 km per hour for long distance train travel.. Which is almost same as it was in 1950. While for 1500 km distance train world is moving on meglev/bullet trains 350-500 kph… Why not connect all metros with high speed train link… round delhi-bombay-bangalore-chennai-hyderabad-kolkatta-delhi… contionous 300kph..
Delhi to mumbai in 5 hours..??
many state still not have rail network like uttrakhand,north east..
—–
17% of world population not even single air hub or port in top 20 ports of world.
Not even single Steel company in top 10 (despite huge coal and iron deposit)
Out of major 100 steel producers india just 5 while compare with china has 55 entries.. (its not competition but people basic necessity should be met)
—-
tourism: despite have best locations in the world with range from desert to snow filled mountains and glaciers, isolated sun fed blue water island beaches like lashkdweep, anadman nikobar, North- east world highest rain fed region, history , building culture music, food … we do not attract 1% of global tourists.
Food : learn how Mainland china resturant are no present in every part of world selling delicious chinsese food with proper methods and centralized R&D support..
Indian food here is sold by pakistanis ..which actually did not even know indian taste.
every 100 km in India food changes by that measure we have (1500 km X 1500 km india land) 15X15= 225 total different types of food altogether but noting is done to create a company which can set resturant and sell authentic Indian food worldwide..
same with aurveda, Allopathy medicine, homepathy etc…

Retail sector Innovations ,economics and Software

Retail sector has redefined they way goods are sold to customer. Sociology helps to decide where society is moving thus what possible product can be made for changing society preferences. Marketing just present those choices to potential customers. Sociology does play a front End to marketing. As be see behavioural Economics coming to for front to vindicate these facts last 2 decades.
Software innovation in Retail : from Retail Inventory planning software tracking inventory, to sensor and tags tracking goods through RFID, Retail non tactical , non structured management planning BI systems using SAP BO, IBM Cognos, Microstrategy BI, SQL server SSRS BI. look Manathan BI (www.manthansystems.com/) which is based on SSRS. Read details big data, retail andRFID:
https://sandyclassic.wordpress.com/2011/10/26/big-data-and-data-integration/

Read How Software is Eating Retail: 
https://sandyclassic.wordpress.com/2011/10/30/groupon-on-top-5-along-with-facebooklinkedin-can-rediff-deals-do-the-same-in-india/

As Philip Kotler defined 5C and 5P of marketing. 5P (product, promotion, place, price,People) and 5 C being (Custmer, Company, collaborator, competition, context)
Read future trends: http://www.kotlermarketing.com/phil_questions.shtml
Read Book :
MarketingKotlerhttp://www.amazon.com/Marketing-Management-Philip-Kotler/dp/0130336297
In Retail sector out of 5P (Place) is very important centrally located , easy accessible to potential customers place can act as magnet for pulling in customers to mall. Then (Promotion) free car parking ,cleaning, or less than cost ice cream at Mac Donald s to attract consumers. (Price) This is where Wall mart is very famous for keeping prices low by attracting many sellers on same floor competing with each other thus like perfect competition condition goods are sold almost at price of Cost of production and supply chain are kept at level of minimal inventory to keep cost down. Supply Chain side automations brings down cost as well more rotation of goods.
Like how P&G and Nestle maintain there Physical warehouses see products by this company
you can register a see complete movie how its done.
http://warehouseoptimization.com/
Like maintaining Go-down with efficient warehousing management and quick reordering based alert issued by sensor on shelf following the (Reorder-level). Thus one of the Cost leadership strategy given by peter Ducker.
just Read few thoughts by author:
http://www.goodreads.com/author/quotes/12008.Peter_F_Drucker
Book:Drucker Management
http://www.amazon.com/The-Essential-Drucker-Management-Essentials/dp/0061345016
T
here was a classic case : On Grass cutting company On account of being marginalized in perfect competition floor of  thus not able to achieve set price to by providing differentiated product said No to walmart
Read : Man who said No to Walmart
http://www.fastcompany.com/54763/man-who-said-no-wal-mart
Retail moved a long was towards innovation last 2 decade from merchandising by experts and procurement experts dealing with suppliers always thinking about the assortment they need to present to customer entering the Mall. Tracking Eyeball of consumer picking up consumer behaviour to schedule the products related to each other in one shelf or in nearby place. Creating products variety is assortment planned so as to achieve variety and meeting matrix of operational efficiency of (price, quality, time  flexibility).
Any shopping mall place with promotion pulls up potential customer called prospect to store area. Then Each vendor has its strategy of luring in customer because once in the store and customer start spending then customer does not think much about cost also like mac Donald less cost ice cream example other Items does get ordered out of expected value a consumer may derive. The rational choice theory does also play important role. It has been Noble prize winning theory by prof Daniel Kahneman (2002) and Gary Becker (1992).  Read : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rational_choice_theory
Consumer Behaviour is getting shaped by the behavioural Economics of Rationality which is inherent in our thinking process.
Not only does it help justify Stock behaviour it does tell consumer preferences after entering into store.
From the format of stores and their strategies
1. Retail Store: Super Store, department store , Hypermarts, discount store,
Read Strategy here : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Retail#Types_of_retail_outlets

2. Wholesale stores/Warehouse Club : for small vendor taking bulk orders at once. Like metro  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Warehouse_club
These differentiation help to achieve variety and specialization and hence more premium is available in terms of not cost but volume.
Its like classical economics “Supply will create its own demand” Although its not much relevant but surely its in play say (10%) of cases. Because there are other factors as well which dominate its not sellers market its buyers market.

Analysis Of Online Education My senario

Last 8 months:
University Exam :
term end 10 cleared 10
Mid term : 10 cleared 10.
Other University Exam: 12X15= 180 Exams
Cleared = 120/180.
Other University course cleared: 12.
Exam per month: (180+20)= 200/8= 25 Exams per month.cleared 15 per mnth
25/4= 6.25 Exam per week: cleared 4 per week.
+ 180 plus courses video lecture (120 exam cleared).
hours spent on Online lecture: (6.25 X 3 hrs)=20 hours per week.
hours spent on live lecture: 10/20 hrs per week.

Time spent on exam: online per week: 4 X 2= 8 hrs.
Time spent offline University Exam : 12 X 3= 36 hours /8 month = 4.5 hrs/mnth
= 1 hr per wk
Total time spent on Education
Online Lecture+ Exam: 20+8= 28 hrs / week
Offline Lecture+ Exam: 15+1= 16 hrs /week
Revision 20% time = 9 hrs / week
——————————————————————————————-
Total : 53 hrs/week.
 238 hrs/ month
      1908 hrs/ 8 month.

Mathematical Model Thinking-MichiganScore



Skill data point generated: 180 X 20= 3,600 data points.

Elaborate more in next article how to Analyze more deeply this about categorization using Market basket and profiling:
https://sandyclassic.wordpress.com/2013/02/17/countries-adopting-e-learning-will-win-next-war-of-education-and-competitiveness/
——————————————————————————

Extras: personal Schedule this year:

  1. 53 hrs per week Online+ offline education
  2. 10 hrs/week  per week travelling, other city and college
  3. 10 hrs/week housework cooking+washing etc..
  4. 10 hrs/week traveling
  5. 10 hrs/week Certification exam travel to dublin, CISA, CFA, CISM, CISSP, PMP
  6. 15 hrs/week Wasted hours walking around city, at house,facebook etc…

——————————————————————————————-
95 hrs/week : or 95/7 =13 hrs per day (including weekend)
95/5 =19 hrs per day (excluding Weekend)

Best sector to invest In Ireland

1. Ireland has huge opportunity in promoting gaelic games like hurlin to countries like India and Africa. And traditional drinks like Guinness.
2.Ireland has huge scope for milk production. If country focus more on milk production it would add 26 times more revenue..Country focus on beef exports causes it make it more cost intensive and less productive and less economic use of available resources for exports.

Reasons:(presently Ireland is paying huge opportunity cost.)

https://sandyclassic.wordpress.com/2013/08/29/economics-of-cow/.

3. Ireland should focus on Tourism : by inviting many people to set up hotels here…

Reason for Falling Indian rupee

6 reasons:
1. Current account deficit : due to huge trade imbalance imports – Exports= 100 billion dollar last 5 yrs  its between 60-100 billion dollar defict…last 10 yrs it exist.No country has such huge deficit its only next to USA. for poor country like india its big task.
2. FII money : which comes through stock routes also called fast money used to create artificial Dollar requirements for Import. Instead of using that money for development its used to plug in fiscal deficit and Current Account deficit.
3. No Export competitiveness: What is specialized Export from India can you name one where India is second to non.. Like china in 200+ manufacturing items, games, electronics goods, computer , torches etc etc… India u say software but what India does ins only services which many other country also provide…See 2,00,000 people infosys market value 40 billion dollar . while 2,000 people biadu search engine team from china has same 40 billion dollar market value. who is more effective or productive…
4. power of influence: Failure in foreign relations.
5. power of trade economics: world top 20 bank india no entry china 7, top steel producers india 2  china 5 etc…Where is power of scale? despite having manpower and iron and coal deposit.
6. small regional parties absolutely no leadership see UP for example: it was 2nd richest state in India.What it is now? second poorest state only next to bihar.. last 20 yrs of caste based rules and not thinking about economic upliftment of poor only personal gains and divide society by caste and creed.
proof: see this go to last column per capita GDP INR there is small sort button there see sorted list by states:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Indian_states_by_GDP
There are Endless other like food security bill for populism where will it end..ultimately indirect tax to collect 2,00,000 crore needed for it..
Read this as well:
https://sandyclassic.wordpress.com/2013/07/27/india-economic-problem-are-also-solution-for-its-future/

Economics Of Cow

I want to start with this thought :
people have no right to inter fair with other people habit to Eat beef or drink milk its people choice…I do not eat beef I drink milk other want to eat can eat…its there choice….

Economics of Cow: interestingly it points to use of word Holy Cow.
I went to see data on avg a cow U.S. weighs 1350 pounds
data(http://www.americancattlemen.com/articles/beef-cows-how-big-too-big)
100-pound increase in mature weight a cow requires an additional $15 – $20 in supplementation costs.
cost per kg: $23.83, Value per cow:
(1350X23= 31050 dollars) ………………………..equation 1
While if cow is kept for milk Each year:
Milk production per cow: a range of around 6,800 to 17,000 kg per year
avg say: 12000 kg .(source:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dairy_cattle.)

Value if market of cow if traded for milk:
milk production X per litre cost.(1 dollar per litre)
= 17,000 dollar per year.
Now cow lives and gives milf another 15 yrs So total cost= 17,000X15=3,50,000 dollar  ………………………equation 2
from equation 1 and equation 2:
value of Meat Expert : value of milk export= 31,000 :(is to )3,50,000
Like benefits are in ratio:  1(beef): 11(milk).
11 times it more better to utilize cow for milk then for beef.
(cost of maintenance remain same in both cases and makes almost no impact)

What Is Compounding Effect here ?
of E
ach time 1 animal killed its compounding is stopped. While when utilized for milk each year animal population increases leading to more production and very minimal increase in marginal cost..
Beef: Each year a new animal brought and cut.
Milk: Each year last year animal still remain.(1/1, 1/2, 1/3,1/4……… 1/n) total after 15 yrs 15/15  .
Second year production double, 3rd year increase by (3-2)/2, 4rt year (4-3)/3….
each year production increase by 1 more animal sum of all for 15 yrs                         (1,2,….15)= 15 X16/2= 120.
120 X 11(factor for 1 cow)=1320 times more profit in 15 yrs….

https://sandyclassic.wordpress.com/2013/07/27/india-economic-problem-are-also-solution-for-its-future/

India Economic Problem are also solution for its future

People who are Expert in these areas can contribute much more but these are problem visible to common man like me. How can we compete with rest of world with only 1% hving access to Quality Education.. while primary education brings inclusion, Higher education brings innovation example last 3 yrs british university launched new innovative MS course attracted lots of foreign talent lead UK to one of innovative economy with wonder material like Graphene found and many such innovation.
(https://sandyclassic.wordpress.com/2013/01/18/graphene-the-wonder-material-foldable-cell-phones-wearable-computerbionic-devices-soon-reality/)
attracting foreign student is very important and crucial.

Any Economy grows Either by efficiency in production and low cost off production Or Innovation.. if both are compared there is nothing which can compare Innovation.. As we see in past
Europe and UK growth in late 1890 was fueled by scientific management, new economic theories, and new scientific developments in Science.
Japan in 1950-60 innovated production System with zero inventory manufacturing reducing cost as well keeping products real time, which multiple assembly line producing mixed product with variability,
US economy after great depression was fueled by innovation of new areas like Automobile, defense manufacturing then to electronics 1980, health care product manufacturing in 1970,1990 2000 the computer sciences..
Where is India failing?

Problem #1: Education Reform: illustrative example and solution
– India has largest software companies in services which is low profit high volume business while No major presence in Product development reason Quality of Graduate coming out of private colleges which are owned by politicians that makes right talent move away from political environment. Artificially the publicity is generated about the quality of professors and many student join..but Student goal is just to pass and College goal not to hold anyone but to let them just pass anyhow How it done? 50% marking in internal with college usually they give 45/50 minimum then real audited tests student just need to score 15/50 and they can pass exam.. And internal exam are very poorly administered…
So people pass out top 5% are really good but some of then are rote learners, rest 10% are okay rest are just average 35/50 in outside university exam to get 80/100.
Some of people do not have basic knowledge but some 5% are really good. This variation of 5% good while 95% not upto standard is where its problem..

There no standardization of education whereby every where people should get same level or quality of education whether you go to IIT or private college.. For country size of India out of top 200 college in Asia we have just 5 to 6 while actually we have 40% of population of Asia ..by that 40% population of asia standard we should have 80 colleges in top 200 of asia or 400 out of top 1000 in Asia..

We are almost 80/5 = 16 times less quality college distributed to population…

Medical Education its worse in range

Standard doctor:patient of 1200:1 considering we have 240 working day a year, and each patient comes to doctors 3 times and 15 patient a day. 1200 doctor to 1 patient.
While ratio in India is 1,20,000 : 1 almost1/100 of expected..

Solution #1: 
How long can sustain this? We are already at critical stage.. If govt create Rural Medical colleges in high hill not only its cheap but also it gives rural population access to medical facilities and growth in local economy. Also India needs to focus on Naturopathy, Homeopathy and Allopathy Ayurveda equally since Allopathy has never been indias strength we cannot consume high cost imported drugs. Ayurveda will be very important Also for medical tourism. Naturopathy keeps avg price per population of healthcare down pioneered by Mahatma Gandhi.

Solution #2:  Rural Pvt Engineering college cum ITI with rigorous quality check.

Solution #3: Institution with high R&D patent filling budget made promotional to no. of patent filling each private or public institution should get subsidy for patent filling.

Corporate Institution and Company to get tax benefit with each patient filling 0.1% drop in tax.

Separate innovation council which can identify new areas of focus in Arts, science, technology, economics,business Studies under private public partner ship.

Education: to be super specialized streams like Intelligent system design engineering,BE in Image processing, etc..not simple computer Science for all pill.

Reason: each patent will give A differentiation to product in market which is unmatched.

As software services is highly commodiatized, and large competitors in market start emerging.

Solution #4:  Try to create regulator but try there task is to more set vision and research in each sector rather than just monitoring. That will continuously fuel these sectors with innovation making govt task easier.

Problem #2Competitiveness Of economy
If we have only 10% population contributing in innovation we can grow 10% but we have hardly 0.01% population that has skills to innovate in there fields.. Each small innovation as small as new hair cut by salon should be encouraged..at local state and national level same is for agriculture…
Next trust areas are Nanotechnology and Biotechnology for India these sectors will last another coming 20 yrs There should continuous endeavor to find new sectors by national Innovation council.

Problem #3: Financial Prudence
National Finance Council created which continuously suggests new legislation to strengthen innovation infrastructure for finance and economics related area with responsibility.

Problem #4: Infrastructure:

Infrastructure regulator which can create policy measure to improve all kinds of rural , urban and metro infrastructure…

Its very urgent to de-congest Metro with creating job opportunity in small cities with medical colleges, engineering colleges, roads and schools.Otherwise like 2 crore people will migrate to delhi in next 3 years its a time bomb waiting in each metro Mumbai, chennai, Kolkata etc.. for which infrastructure has to improved.

Problem #5: Oil Import almost 100 billion dollar
Cycle lane and methanol blending , public transport can save 20-30% fuel
While bio mass energy, Solar energy River interlinking electricity generation, wind energy can reduce oil import by another 20% .

Problem 6: Export-Import trade deficit.

With 1 trillion dollar combined deficit running last 2004 onwards in 2 trillion dollar economy not sustainable. atleast with 5 yrs we have to come in trade surplus which will happen only when sector other than IT start contributing to Export like manufacturing,

Solution: Some permanent Export council: should be set up which can identify new areas of export ,new geography of export dynamically.

textile(india has cotton and polyester, and deign talent unmatched).
Biotech, Nano Technology, Quantum Computing, Etc…
Till we do not have competitive chip manufacturing,mobile and tablet  capability we cannot sustain Even run in over software sector in long run as software start integrating deep in devices.
Healthcare tourism has huge oppurtunity in India with rich large talent and cheap treatment cost In India.
Problem #7: Legal jurisprudence research improvement.
Law has not been improved for speedy and effective trial last 60 yrs some law are as old as 150 yrs old infact 70% laws are like than there urgent need to improve them.

 

 

 

Landslide detection & impact reduction using Wireless Sensor Network

Wireless Sensor Network (WSN) can be used to detect landslips early in advance.
I cannot say much from perspective of geology but from computer science prospective this technology has been in use almost 10-15 yrs.

Amrita university 3 yrs back implemented wireless sensor network to avoid landslip with help from Italian scientist from European Union. here is the link of factsheet of the project
https://www.amrita.edu/press-media/sikkim-gets-landslide-warning-system-amrita-vishwa-vidyapeetham

 

Even its used across all calamity of early detection sensor have sensing unit which is equipped with desired hardware for example if we want to measure pressure, or heat or and movements of rock or vibration etc… Second unit if relay unit which is used to relay signal to nearest chip or base station. third component is Energy source like battery. here sensor needs to work long time before being recharged hence lost of energy harvesting technologies are used to recycle energy. and Piezoelectric material is also used  for energy harvesting. there are lots of other techniques as well. watch stanford university lecture on energy harvesting:

India’s National Disaster management mission also says it helpful to implement Wireless sensor network to detect disastor early and hence prevent it.
ndma.gov.in/ndma/guidelines/NDMANDMICSGUIDELINES.pdf

Page 45 last paragraph also says:
These guidelines were released in year 2012 since then its not implemented otherwise like Uttranchal disaster could have predicted and stopped early.

quoting from document

“Inter-state coordination, with installation of an automatic Alarm System employing appropriate level/discharge sensors, can be used to pre-empt disasters. Effective and timely information systems, and contingency plans for dealing with such disasters, are the answers. The present manual system of marking of water level is to be converted to an automatic danger level overflow alarm system using intelligent sensors”

How to do social media Analysis?

How can we go about doing social media analysis?

Here are ways and methods as I have described in the project.

SOCIAL MEDIA ANALYSIS-project

 

 

Gini coefficient of economics and ROC curve machine learning

Receiver Operator curve or ROC curve are used in data mining , machine learning. from area under ROC curve u can calculate Gini coefficient. I have made an excel template

2013-05-12 18.58.03

Example to show how its calculated.

if AUC is area under curve then,

G= 2AUC-1

Gini coefficient the most watched coefficient of economics these days :
I wrote a article comparing different countries of world with data available

https://sandyclassic.wordpress.com/2013/02/06/watch-gini-coefficient-only-show-income-distribution-not-lowhigh-income-distribution/

Gini coefficient AUC has some component of noise which called to question of better measures which are used in machine learning DeltP or informedness ,mattews correlation coefficient each one is suitable to its own field while informedness=1 shows perfect performance while -1 represent perverse of negative performance despite all informedness. Economics Gini zero shows perfect equality.

So parameters keep improving there is no end result and there cannot be as our understanding increases we come at better measures and change is constant..but what is truth today was mystery or magic for old and would be kind of half truth for future..But the subjects are interconnected the branching of knowledge areas is going on since last 250 yrs.. earlier there was no engineering everything was under philosophy during Socrates. Socrates rightly said : that you cannot say anything with absolute certainty. But you can have informed decision that is what informedness quantifies that your decision how much they are informed decisions.

See a case from Biometrics:

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